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Is Gold A Sleeping Giant? The Basel Accord

Is Gold A Sleeping Giant? The Basel Accord

In the light of much focus on cryptocurrency this article examines whether gold will make a comeback and establish its true value and status in our economy.

History is Prelude

From time immemorial precious metals have been recognised for their stored value as tangible assets, including silver and gold. A key reason for paper notes becoming used commercially was because it was cumbersome to carry gold and precious metals around in any major quantity for purposes of trade.

Paper notes would be denominated with an inscription pointing to the value of that note in terms of gold and silver. In simple terms they were a bit like coupons. Two particular landmarks in history changed the nature of money. Firstly, things fundamentally changed with the confiscation of gold from the people in the 1930’s by executive order of President Roosevelt.

Then in 1971 gold and silver was removed as backing altogether, courtesy of President Nixon. From that moment the populace had the form of money but not the substance of money, which I referenced in another articleHere in the UK the gold standard was suspended during the Napoleonic War, and brought back for a while from 1821 to 1914.

Image Source: Gold

Inflation

Gold’s restorative impact on the economy and hedge against inflation was well known. In 1914,  £0.95 could buy what £1 pound could buy in 1821, meaning that Britain’s economy strengthened with gold as the key factor. Also Elizabeth I used it to counter inflation during her reign between 1558 and1603.

So, gold has shown itself to be real money and has been the consistent answer to inflation. Based on its track record in history this is one indicator that gold will make a comeback. In the meantime the value of money has been in significant decline for approximately 100 years due to money existing in form alone. Right now as I write this article the UK has now surpassed 10% inflation though I suspect the number is higher. Why?

Mario Innecco is a financial markets and macro economics analyst who recently discovered and reported that the Bank of England had been manipulating data on inflation, to make inflation look better than it really is. The bottom line to curbing inflation is to restore money of substance, in other words to bring back the likes of gold and silver.

The second reason that gold could become resurgent picks up on the theme of manipulation of data. The only reason to manipulate data is when you want it to fit a certain narrative, and to control perception. The conflated numbers cited during the so-called pandemic, show this is a common strategy used by the establishment. If you take a look at the summary gold chart, you will notice that since 2012, when gold was near 1800 per ounce, it declined thereafter to an all time low in 2016.

Image source: Gold Chart

It was not until 2020 during the so-called pandemic that it broke the 2012 record. Again it correlates to rising inflation and yet, the graph resembles a picture of suppression, rather than reflecting its true value according to many commentators. Gold has a history of being stolen, suppressed, and manipulated as far as its data is concerned. This tells its own story of how precious and valuable it is, otherwise you would not see so much energy going into destroying its true worth to the public.

What Happened to All That Gold?

I have always wondered what happened to the abundant supply of gold that used to be? Is it going extinct like the dinosaurs?  Gold has not disappeared but it has transferred from the many to the few through asset stripping and theft.

Recall in history when gold was confiscated with such extreme measures and touted as being in the interests of the economy, only to be sold at a higher price by the American government. It revealed the truth and betrayal of the people by the government. It was a form of asset stripping by theft, designed to enrich the few and enslave the many.

You may also recall Karen Hudes, former World Bank employee who blew the whistle and expanded on the fraud, and the theft of gold which was taking place at the higher echelons of the bank. These thefts mean that gold simply got transferred by force to a few global oligarchs. 

As it stands today, the World Gold Council reports that the Central Banks hold one fifth of all the existing , with the USA leading the way, although China and Russia are the two biggest producers of gold. While you can buy gold today,  the asset stripping strategy is showing up in more subtle forms, as the following case underlines.

Insider Trading

According to the dictionary, insider trading is defined as ‘the illegal practice of trading on the stock exchange to one's own advantage through having access to confidential information’. This has been shown to be going on in the stock market in general, and among those implicated are high ranking officials such as Nancy Pelosi, USA speaker of the house, and Federal Reserve chief Jerome Powell. The following case highlights the connections at the highest level.

The Court Hearing of JP Morgan

Recently In Chicago the trial of certain officials of JP Morgan took place. The court discovery revealed what many suspected – insider trading of gold, which involved spoofing and market manipulation. What’s more the court discovery was able to ascertain that JP Morgan were effectively agents for the BIS, and also the Federal Reserve. At one point the label ‘criminal enterprise’ was used to describe the organized theft.

Certain individuals were charged with fraud. It’s interesting that the trial took place in Chicago. COMEX is a division of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, and is the primary futures and options market for trading metals such as gold, silver, copper, and aluminum. 

One of the other fraudulent activities that takes place within these exchanges by insiders is fooling people into thinking they own real physical gold [allocated gold] when in fact they only hold the form of it.  ETF stands for exchange traded fund, and is an example of such a paper asset.

The challenge with fraud charges is that so much money is made in fraudulent activities, that many banks think they can simply buy their way out of the consequences. However, that may be stopped in its tracks sooner rather than later.

The Basel Accord 

The Basel Accord, sometimes referred to as Basel IV, comprises Basel III with its three pillars, Basel I, II and III. This is a series of international banking reforms designed to strengthen banking through different economic challenges. It can be summed up in this diagram. 

Image Source: Basel III

This series of regulatory changes are designed to introduce highly disciplined practices to increase safety and to minimize risk in the banking sector. Basel started back in 1974 as a collaborative committee comprising 10 countries including the United Kingdom and USA. Its focus was on quality, safety and efficiency in banking. In 2009 the first version of Basel III came out in response to the financial crisis. Common themes of the accord is the requirement for banks to have greater capital reserves and show liquidity.

Within this comes the monitoring and reporting of key data demonstrating that the bank balance sheets add up. This potentially puts the banks in the headlights where paper versus physical allocated gold is concerned. Now they have to show proper reconciliation. The minimum requirements of Basel III took effect from Jan 2022, and must be fully in play by 2027. The big banks appear to be panicking because they have to report and  submit the relevant documents. It seems that they are using this transition to buy up physical gold in huge quantities in order to plug the gaps they created.  

Alongside this you have Russia who are now charging in gold for its energy, This has resulted in the G7 banning imports of gold from Russia. This has not stopped Russia. Russia is one of the BRIC countries [including Brazil, India and China], and it is being muted that they may come out with their own gold standard, which would threaten the dominance of the USD further.

Elsewhere, Zimbabwe is now offering gold coins as legal tender to curb inflation, and Lithuania is going down a similar path. Many financial commentators such as Robert Kiyosaki and Jim Rickards are predicting a surge in both gold and silver as a result of the pressure of inflation, Basel III, and the activity around the purchase and use of gold.

Gold With Greater Functionality

If you are wondering if gold is still for the long term as simply a store of value, the good news is that its functionality now goes beyond that. You can buy, trade, save and own gold more easily.

For example the Glint App allows you to buy gold through their app using EUR, USD and GBP. The gold you purchase is physical allocated gold, and is stored in a non government brinks vault in Switzerland. You own it. Furthermore you can digitize what you own through their debit mastercard, meaning you can then spend it on everyday things. I have found the purchase of gold through the app to be seamless, and am looking forward to buying something effectively with gold. Check if GLINT is in use in your country.

Another company that has done something similar is Kinesis. The problem they solve is explained in Gresham’s Law, which is where good money is saved and bad money spent historically. They are creating a banking ecosystem around this concept which allows you to buy gold and silver on their exchange, using fiat or select cryptocurrencies, and then you can store it in your own wallet, as well as to be able to send and receive to other participants in the ecosystem.

They are coming out with a VISA debit card too, both virtual and offline. With their own built in exchange, you can trade gold and silver, and you get yields on different activities such as minting, buying, holding and referring. Off course if you are new to this concept, and simply want to buy physical gold you may wish to look up Mike Maloney on YouTube for educational input and recommendation. If gold backed cryptocurrency appeals to you here is a guide as a starting point for exploration.

I have developed a mini ecosystem within my portfolio which allows me to accept payment for my businesses in gold, as well as to save and make purchases. I also have some gold backed cryptocurrency and related company shares based around gold. It certainly feels more empowering to be working with real money, which surpasses what my traditional bank can do.

Much attention has been focussed on cryptocurrencies as the emerging new ‘money’ especially since bitcoin came into being around 2009. In fact many commentaries refer to bitcoin as the new digital gold, since one of the assertions is that it cannot be confiscated. Confiscation is one consideration but anything that deters access to your money is another, as we saw in a previous article which looked at regulation. The volatility of cryptocurrency does not help with the immediate threat of inflation.

With rampant inflation, the intense suppression of gold through market manipulation, and the imminent full implementation of Basel III, these trends suggest that gold will make a comeback and find its true value. Gold may well be the sleeping giant, as it has an inherent and powerful ability to restore an economy that has gone out of control.

Whatever else you do, consider adding this to your resources to stave off the decline in purchasing power of your local currency. Now you know the game that is being played by the establishment, it is up to we the people, the majority, to protect our assets, in order to create and pass on generational wealth to bless ‘we the people’ ad infinitum.

 

 

About: Anita Narayan. (United Kingdom) My life's work is about helping individuals to greater freedom through joy and purpose without self-sabotage, so that inspirational legacy can serve generations to come. Find me at my Markethive Profile Page | My Twitter Account | and my LinkedIn Profile.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Two Bullish Signs For Bitcoin

Two Bullish Signs For Bitcoin

Two Bullish Signs For Bitcoin

 After a prolonged correction, Bitcoin is back big time. The “people’s currency” gained close to 7% this week, stabilizing around the $11,000 mark.

Is this comeback for real?

Hard to say, as there are hardly any “fundamentals” to judge whether Bitcoin is undervalued or overvalued at these levels. Still, there are a couple of bullish signs for the digital currency worth noticing.

One of them is that Bitcoin is beginning to behave like the ‘new gold,’ shining in times of extreme uncertainty that take over Wall Street.

There was a time when gold would shine as Wall Street faltered. That was long time ago, when it was the hedge against uncertainty. It was the asset where investors could park their cash in times of political and economic turmoil.

Now Bitcoin is taking its place, as evidenced by the performance of the two assets overtime.

Bitcoin, for instance, rallied last week, as conventional gold and stocks faltered, due to anxiety over the direction of interest rates and world trade. The “people’s currency” gained 13.95% in early in the week and 22.81% in the last 30 days. Meanwhile, the SPDR Gold Trust lost 2.31% and 2.51% over the same period, and the S&P500 lost 3.53% and 4.93%.


 Thursday March 1, 2018 at 3pm

Bitcoin displayed a similar pattern last year. It rallied as North Korean dictator Kim Jong-un was launching missiles over Japan, and as China was trying to write its own navigation rules in South China Sea.

Gold didn’t.

That’s why Bitcoin is often referred to as the new ‘gold.’

Another bullish sign is that Bitcoin is beginning to respond positively to SEC’s efforts to fight fraud in the cryptocurrency markets. Last week’s rally, for instance, came as SEC cracked down on certain Initial Coin Offerings (ICOs).

That’s quite different from last July when Bitcoin headed south on the news that the SEC was getting ready to regulate ICOs.

Apparently, Bitcoin investors are getting it right: government regulation is good for the digital currency. It helps build trust among market participants, while limiting the supply of competing coins.

Author: Panos Mourdoukoutas ,

 
Posted by David Ogden Entrepreneur

Alan Zibluk – Markethive Founding Member

Bitcoin SUCCESS sees Australia pledge creation of price stable gold-backed cryptocurrency

Bitcoin SUCCESS sees Australia pledge creation of price stable gold-backed cryptocurrency

Bitcoin SUCCESS sees Australia pledge creation of price stable gold-backed cryptocurrency

A NEW cryptocurrency backed by gold is set to be made by Australia’s largest gold refinery after the Chief Executive announced plans to increase investment in the country’s metals.

Perth Mint have said they are hoping to capitalise on the rise the trading of digital currencies as a way to help increase interest in investing in Australia.

A number of cryptocurrencies have risen in popularity over the past 12 months with bitcoin, Ripple, and Ethereum all seeing surges.

Richard Hayes, Chief Executive of Perth Mint said: “I think as the world moves through times of increasing uncertainty, you’re seeing people look for alternate offerings.

“And you’re seeing this massive flow of funds into the likes of Bitcoin at the moment because people are looking for something outside of the traditional investments.”

He added that the proposed online money would “bring investors back to precious metals after a boom in alternative investments such as cryptocurrencies.”

Bitcoin was the original virtual currency and since it first mined in 2009, has seen its value surge and reach an all-time high of more than $17,000 (£12,000) in December 2017.

However, the value of bitcoin has plunged since then and last week saw its value drop to just £8,300.

Mr Hayes argued the decision of the mint to develop a gold-backed currency, similar to how physical currencies have previously been linked in the past, would help bring greater price stability to those investing in the digital money.

He claimed his plans would mean people could trust that the cryptocurrency was actually worth a physical amount.

He said: “With a crypto-gold or a crypto-precious metals offering, what you will see is that gold is actually backing it.

“So it will have all the benefits of something that is on a distributed ledger that settles very, very quickly, that is easy to trade, but is actually backed by precious metals, so there is actually something behind it, something backing it.”

The Perth Mint are not the first to announce their intentions of creating a currency linked to gold.

Last year a cryptocurrency linked to gold called Onegram was announced by finance firm Shariah-compliant , leading to significant media attention.

However, sale of the currency flopped, with less than 0.14 per cent of the company’s target being sold in the first phase of the initial coin offering.

Venezuela has also announced plans to launch a cryptocurrency, called the Petro, that will be supported by gold.

 

Author DAN FALVEY UPDATED: 02:09, Sun, Jan 28, 2018

 

Posted by David Ogden Entrepreneur
David ogden cryptocurrency entrepreneur

Alan Zibluk – Markethive Founding Member

Bitcoin vs Gold: Which is a Better for Long Term Investment

bitcoin v gold which is the better investment

Bitcoin vs Gold: Which is a Better for Long Term Investment

 

Imagine that you have $100,000 at your disposal. You must spend all of it on either bitcoin or gold – no mixing and matching – and the assets will then be stored in a trust that cannot be accessed again for 50 years.

Which option would you choose?

With the two commodities now in roughly the same price range, it's worth putting aside some of bitcoin's short-term volatility and liquidity concerns to compare them as long-term stores of value side by side.

Sure, you might argue bitcoin is newer and flashier, and that it has arguably more utility in the digital era than gold. But, gold has the indisputable track record, having been a cherished store of value for thousands of years across human civilizations.

However, bitcoin's traits have led to those backing the cryptocurrency to believe it could potentially unseat gold over the long haul.

Spencer Bogart, an analyst with Blockchain Capital and formerly of Needham & Company, told CoinDesk:

"If we think about the qualities that make gold a respected 'money' or store of value, bitcoin is actually superior in many regards."

Inflation vs deflation

Another key advantage bitcoin has over gold is that its supply level is fixed and transparent – eliminating fears of the typical inflationary pressures associated with overproduction that could diminish the value of the asset.

"A well-known characteristic about bitcoin is that it’s on a disinflationary supply schedule. While many people think of gold as being the same, gold is actually a sneakily inflationary asset," said Chris Burniske, blockchain products lead with ARK Investment Management.

Burniske added that the global supply of gold has clandestinely increased by 1–2% annually over the last century.

He continued:

"If you were to ask people what gold's supply schedule looks like over time, they probably wouldn't draw you something that looks like an exponential curve. With gold being sneakily inflationary, it’s not set up to preserve value in the way that bitcoin is."

Such characteristics, in theory, serve to increase bitcoin’s future utility as a means of account, exchange and storing value.

They also suggest that bitcoin's value, usefulness and importance to society will only continue to grow as commerce becomes more digitized.

"As more infrastructure is built around [bitcoin], we think that demand will rise relative to its mathematically metered supply, increasing its price support," Burniske wrote in a recent white paper.

Slow and steady

The clear advantages that gold has over bitcoin are trust and reliability, according to those surveyed for this article. However, a change in consumer preferences, new technological disruption or a crackdown by a government could easily kick bitcoin to the end of the bench.

"Gold has something very important that bitcoin lacks: a more than 1,000-year history of being a decent store of value. This is very important for trust and people's willingness to store value in that particular asset," said Bogart.

Gold has also proven itself to be of value even when governments attempt to restrict its usage or outlaw it completely.

This happened in 1933, when President Franklin D Roosevelt implemented measures to prohibit and criminalize its possession in the US.

"For more than 5,000 years gold and silver have been tried-and-true money. They've lasted basically the duration of organized civilization," said Dave Kranzler of Investment Research Dynamics.

In this light, Kranzler was keen to highlight bitcoin's 'counterparty risk'.

Gold's advantage over bitcoin is that it's not dependent on the operation of the internet, thus affording it a degree of protection from heavy-handed regimes, he said.

"There’s nothing to stop any government from shutting down the internet in their country under the guise of national security purposes or what not,” he said, adding:

"We’ve seen democracies come and go, but totalitarianism always seems to creep back in. And when that happens, the government controls everything."

Elemental value

Gold has also proven itself immune to technological disruption.

According to Burniske, while bitcoin has generated significant cultural cachet, it remains at the bleeding edge and could still be dethroned relatively easily.

"That position is not necessarily going to remain the case if bitcoin is not able to attract new users and provide a happy medium in terms of user experience," he said.

Yet, as asset classes like Dutch tulips, Japanese real estate, dot-com companies and the US housing market have boomed and busted, gold has consistently plodded ahead, withstanding the test of time.

"I don’t think anyone can say with any certainty that any man-made system is going to be valuable 50 years from now," said Josh Crumb, co-founder of GoldMoney and a former commodities strategist at Goldman Sachs.

He continued:

 

"People forget that gold is not a pet rock or a speculative asset, it's an element. Gold is a very low-risk store of value. Fifty years from now it’s going to still be valuable."

While investors like Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss have suggested that technological developments as far fetched as asteroid mining could eventually put upward pressure on the total supply of gold (and reduce its scarcity), Crumb reckons that technological creative destruction poses a much greater threat to bitcoin.

"People have been trying to crack gold for 600 years. I think it's much more likely that we're going to have quantum computing that can change cryptography than asteroid mining that's going to bring back loads of gold," he said.

Complementary or substitutionary?

Perhaps asking whether bitcoin will ever unseat gold as the universal store of value isn't quite appropriate, as it's plausible that the two can, and will, co-exist as complementary assets.

"I like bitcoin, particularly in the short-term, so it's kind of like saying 'Do you like gold or do you like investing in Facebook in 2011?'" said Crumb. "To me, it’s two totally different things."

As is standard practice across other realms of investing, the correct answer to the bitcoin versus gold question will ultimately be determined by the risk profile of each particular investor.

"In terms of proper portfolio construction, you want to diversify. You want to have different types of assets that don’t necessarily move together," said Burniske, concluding:

"There's always room for collaboration. It’s sensational to pit [bitcoin versus gold] as a fight to the death."
 

David Ogden
Entrepreneur
 

Author: Aaron Stanley

Alan Zibluk – Markethive Founding Member