Bitcoin Price Watch – BTC Primed To Break $4K

Key Points

• Bitcoin price is grinding higher and it recently broke the $3,900 resistance against the US Dollar.

• There is a key ascending channel formed with support at $3,850 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).

• The price may decline a few points before it makes an attempt to clear the $4,000 resistance.

Bitcoin price is showing positive signs above $3,800 against the US Dollar. BTC remains well supported on the downside for more gains above $4,000.

Bitcoin Price Analysis

Yesterday, we discussed that bitcoin price remains buy on dips near the $3,700 level against the US Dollar. The BTC/USD pair remained in a nice uptrend and it moved above the $3,820 and $3,900 resistance levels. The price traded as high as $3,923 and it is currently correcting lower. It broke the $3,900 support, but it is placed well above the 100 hourly simple moving average.

At the outset, the price is testing the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent wave from the $3,646 low to $3,923 high. More importantly, there is a key ascending channel formed with support at $3,850 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Should there be a downside break below the channel support, the price may test the $3,780 support. It represents the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent wave from the $3,646 low to $3,923 high. Therefore, if the price corrects lower in the short term, buyers may appear near $3,850 or $3,780. On the upside, a break above the $3,900 and $3,930 levels may push the price towards $4,000.

Looking at the chart, bitcoin price is trading nicely above the $3,780 support. If there are more declines, the next key support is near the $3,750 and the 100 hourly SMA.

Looking at the technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD for BTC/USD is slowly moving in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI is placed nicely above the 50 level.

Major Support Level – $3,780

Major Resistance Level – $3,930

 

AAYUSH JINDAL | JANUARY 3, 2019 | 5:00 AM

Alan Zibluk Markethive Founding Member

Fred Wilson's 2019 outlook – Crypto will enter new bullish wave after seeing bottom

Venture capital investor, Fred Wilson starts the new year by posting his prediction on what’s going to happen in 2019 on his website.

His prediction covers many aspects from politics, global economy, stock market, tech business, including cryptocurrency, quoting what he said, “Any set of predictions for 2019 from me on this blog would not be complete without some thoughts on crypto.”

He started by predicting the fall of President Trump due to the reaction of the House towards the report of Robert Muller about his illegal activities.

The “Washington drama” somehow will impact the US economy severely, starting with the capital markets to interest rates, which results in a weaker economy.

That said, the man behind various Web 2.0 investment, such as Twitter, Tumblr, Foursquare, Kickstarter and MongoDB is convinced that the crisis will not be experienced by the startup/tech economy.

Wilson believes the macro trend will not impact the startup/tech economy as it’s driven first and foremost by technical and creative innovation.

As for the crypto industry, he said, “I think we are in the process of finding the bottom on the large, liquid, and lasting crypto-tokens. But I think that process could take much of 2019 to play out.”

Furthermore, he added, “I expect we will see some bullish runs, followed by selling pressures taking us back to retest the lows. I think this bottoming out process will end sometime in 2019 and we will slowly enter a new bullish phase in crypto.”

Wilson thinks the next bullish phase is triggered by the fulfilment of promises of some projects from 2017, such as Filecoin and the Algorand project.

He also mentioned his expectation to see a number of “next gen” smart contract platforms that will challenge Ethereum, followed by Ethereum’s defending its leadership through a number of important system improvements.

Aside from that, the Union Square Ventures co-founder expects to see a wider adoption of cryptocurrency, particularly in developing countries through stablecoins, NFT/cryptoassets/cryptogaming, and earn/spending opportunities.

Having such bullish predictions towards crypto industry, Wilson stated that he still has some concerns about it, particularly related to the actions of “misguided regulators” that will “harm” high quality projects.

Moreover, the dark side of crypto, such as scams, failed projects, and losing investments will still exist in 2019, which he said, they could be “a drag on the sector.”

However, he also mentioned that it’s always the case with new emerging technology that allows anyone to set up shop and get going.

“Permissionless innovation produces the greatest gains over time but also comes with the inevitable bad actors and actions,” he said.

“Do I sound pessimistic? I suspect I do, but I am not. I am incredibly optimistic… It is going to be a doozy,” he closed his 2019 prediction.

 

02 JAN, 2019 | UPDATED: 02 JAN, 2019 BY FIFI ARISANDI

Alan Zibluk Markethive Founding Member

Bitcoin [BTC] Technical Analysis – Bull carries coin to green pastures

As the year comes to an end, Bitcoin [BTC] marks the end with a little slip. BTC, at the time of press, had slipped by 2.38% over the past 24 hours.

The coin was valued at $3,792.32 with a market cap of $66 billion. The coin registered a 24-hour trade volume of $4.7 billion with a fall of over 9% over the past seven days. The coin is still falling with a slip of 1.10% over the last hour.

1-hour

As per the one-hour chart of BTC, the coin observed a downtrend from $4034 to $3748.09, after which the coin shot up to $3736.51 to $3884.71. The coin then fell from $3914.04 to $3799.26. The coin is offered support at $3727, with immediate resistance at $3845.

Parabolic SAR hints towards a bearish as the markers align above the candlesticks.

Awesome Oscillator indicates a bearish momentum emerging, but as per the previous trend, it might be a short-lived one.

Chaikin Money Flow points above zero, marking a bullish market.

1-day

The one-day chart of the coin points towards a massive fall from $7359.99 to $6511.88, which further continues to $6259.35 to $3829. A miniscual uptrend was noticed from $3184.28 to $3576.12, with a resistance marked at $4075.33. BTC was offered support at $3184.28.

Bollinger Bands appears to be at a converging point, indicating a decreased volatility in the market. The moving average line is under the candlesticks, thus marking a bullish market.

MACD line is above the signal line hinting towards a bullish market.

Relative Strength Index indicates that the buying and selling pressures are evening each other out.

Conclusion

According to the indicators, Awesome Oscillator and Parabolic SAR a bearish market is predicted. However, Chaikin Money Flow, Bollinger Bands, and MACD point towards a bullish market.

 

Published 1 min ago on January 1, 2019 By Namrata Shukla

Alan Zibluk Markethive Founding Member

Bitcoin – Bears in Control as the Year Comes to an End

It’s back in the red for Bitcoin and how the year ends could be a signal of just what’s to come through the early part of New Year.

Bitcoin gained 2.14% on Sunday, partially reversing a 3.54% fall on Saturday, to end the day at $3,977.3.

A bullish start to the week failed to deliver another cryptomarket rally off the back of the previous week’s 23.4% gain, with Bitcoin ending the week down 2.34% and of greater significance, back at sub-$4,000 levels.

Following a late in the day sell-off on Saturday, Bitcoin fell to a start of a day intraday low $3,838.9, holding above the day’s first major support level at $3,802.3 before finding support.

There were no fireworks through the day, with Bitcoin only managing a move through to a mid-day intraday high $4,003.8 before easing back, with sub-$3,900 support holding Bitcoin back from a slide back to $3,800 levels.

The moves through the day saw Bitcoin come within range of the first major resistance level at $4,042.70 and the first major support level at $3,802.3.

For the Bitcoin bulls a run at $5,000 levels was needed before the year was out to shift the negative sentiment that has plagued Bitcoin and the broader market since the return of crypto volatility in late October.

Failing to hold onto $4,000 levels in the week will continue to raise doubts over whether Bitcoin has bottomed out or is about to get hit by another sell-off that would deliver the widely predicted sub-$3,000 floor.

The bearish sentiment has seen Ethereum close the market cap gap on Ripple’s XRP, with Ethereum looking ripe to retake the 2nd spot, though much will depend on the Token Taxonomy Act, a recovery in the ICO market only a good thing for Ethereum that has struggled over the year.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin was down 1.75% to $3,907.9, with moves through the early morning seeing Bitcoin slide from a start of a day morning high $3,986.9 to an early morning low $3,873.4, Bitcoin calling on support at the first major support level at $3,876.2, whilst falling short of $4,000 levels and the first major resistance level at $4,041.1.

For the day ahead, a hold onto $3,900 levels through the morning would support a move through the morning high to bring $4,000 levels and the first major resistance level at $4,041.1 into play, with sentiment across the broader market to play a hand in how Bitcoin closes out the day.

Early moves and a failure at the start of the day for Bitcoin to break through to $4,000 levels will likely weigh through the morning.

Failure to hold onto $3,900 levels through the morning could see Bitcoin slide back through the morning low $3,873.4 to bring $3,700 levels and the second major support level at $3,775.1 into play before any recovery.

The way the year is coming to a close, it could be a tough start to 2019 and if there’s no good news from regulators, it may be more than just a tough January.

Bob Mason

FXEmpire 57 minutes ago

Alan Zibluk Markethive Founding Member

Bitcoin Price Weekly Analysis -BTC Holding Key Uptrend Support

Key Points

• Bitcoin price declined recently towards the $3,560 support area against the US Dollar.

• There is a key bullish trend line formed with support $3,680 on the 4-hours chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).

• The pair is currently holding a crucial support and it could bounce back above $3,800 and $3,900.

Bitcoin price is holding the key uptrend support near $3,600 against the US Dollar. BTC/USD is likely to resume its upward move above $4,000 in the near term.

Bitcoin Price Analysis

This past week, bitcoin price started a major downside move from the $4,235 level against the US Dollar. The BTC/USD pair traded below the $4,000 and $3,800 support levels. However, the price found support near the $3,550 level and later started an upward move. More importantly, the price stayed above the $3,500 pivot level and the 100 simple moving average (4-hours).

The price jumped above $3,800 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $4,235 high to $3,563 low. However, the price failed to clear the $3,980 and $4,000 resistance area. Besides, the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $4,235 high to $3,563 low also acted as a resistance. There was yet another downside move, but the $3,675 level acted as a support. Finally, there is a key bullish trend line formed with support $3,680 on the 4-hours chart of the BTC/USD pair. If there is a break below the trend line, the price decline towards $3,550 or $3,500.

Looking at the chart, BTC price seems to trading above important support levels near $3,600. On the upside, buyers need to clear the $3,900 and $4,000 resistance levels for more gains. The next major resistance is near the $4,080 and $4,200 levels.

Looking at the technical indicators:

4-hours MACD – The MACD for BTC/USD is likely to move back into the bearish zone.

4-hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI is currently below the 50 level.

Major Support Level – $3,550

Major Resistance Level – $4,000

 

AAYUSH JINDAL | DECEMBER 30, 2018 | 5:00 AM

Alan Zibluk Markethive Founding Member

Bitcoin Breakout that didn't happen – sideways days in the year ahead

• BTC broke out of Cup and Handle pattern, but gave up.

• Consolidation is the way ahead in the new year.

Bitcoin, the poster boy of cryptocurrency world, did break out of the cup and handle pattern on the charts, as pointed by this author last week, but only to give up again, in a sign that bulls too are on Christmas vacation alongwith bears.

BTC/USD is down about two cents of a percent at $3,881 and trading in less than 2 percent range for the day in a thinly traded weekend as well as year-end trading. On the 180-minute chart, this largest crypto by market cap, did break out of the cup and handle pattern by crossing past $4,200 resistance line, but couldn't sustain it. Resulting into prices going below the very trendline they broke out of.

Although, after the claw back, prices found support at 21 days SMA around $3,576, while upside still seems capped around $4,200, signalling consolidation ahead as the new year dawns.

BTC/USD 180-minute chart:

 

 

Manoj B Rawal

FXStreet

Alan Zibluk Markethive Founding Member

BTC Turned Bearish Below $3,800

Key Points

• Bitcoin price struggled to gain traction above the $3,840 and $3,900 resistance levels against the US Dollar.

• Yesterday’s highlighted major bearish trend line is intact with resistance at $3,720 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).

• The price is currently trading in a bearish zone and it could extend losses below $3,500.

Bitcoin price is under pressure below $3,800 against the US Dollar. BTC may correct a few points, but it remains sell on rallies near $3,720 and $3,800.

Bitcoin Price Analysis

There was an increase in selling pressure on bitcoin price after it failed to clear the $3,850 level against the US Dollar. The BTC/USD pair started a downside move and broke the $3,800 and $3,700 support levels. It even broke the $3,600 level and traded as low as $3,563. There could be a short term correction from $3,563, but the price is trading well below the 100 hourly simple moving average.

An initial resistance is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the last decline from the $3,855 high to $3,563 low. Moreover, yesterday’s highlighted major bearish trend line is intact with resistance at $3,720 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Finally, the 50% Fib retracement level of the last decline from the $3,855 high to $3,563 low is near the trend line. Therefore, if there is an upside correction, the price is likely to struggle near $3,720 and $3,800. A proper break above the trend line and the $3,800 resistance is needed for a decent upward move. If not, the price may continue to decline and it may even break the $3,500 support in the near term.

Looking at the chart, bitcoin price seems to be trading with a bearish angle below $3,720 and there are chances of more losses.

Looking at the technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD for BTC/USD is gaining pace in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI is moving with a bearish angle below the 40 level.

Major Support Level – $3,500

Major Resistance Level – $3,720
 

AAYUSH JINDAL | DECEMBER 28, 2018 | 6:00 AM

Alan Zibluk Markethive Founding Member

Building for Bulls, Bears, and the Crypto Revolution

Last year, I ended my 2017 Year in Review piece with the following statement:

“Those who change the world don’t always set out to do so. All it takes is a decision to do something today, do it better tomorrow, and to not stop doing it…ever. One day, you’ll lean back, zoom out and realize the peaks and valleys that have consumed you were just the runway and the real lift-off has yet to occur.”

It seems fitting to start my review this year with the same statement and observe how its meaning kaleidoscopes in the new light of 2018.

For context, in December 2017, the price of bitcoin had just hit its all-time high of $19,783.06. The price of ether was about to hit its all-time high of $1,417.38. CryptoKitties were running rampant all over the ethereum network, thousands of ICOs had launched in 2017 and hundreds of dedicated crypto funds opened their doors.

Today, the environment is a bit different. Those crypto funds are starting to shut down. ICOs that raised capital in crypto in 2017 have seen their runways halved and halved again. The price of bitcoin hovers around $3,500 and the price of ether plummeted below $100. CryptoKitties has a meagre 378 daily active users, down from over 15,000 daily active users this time last year. Ouch.

What I failed to mention with last year’s statement is that the runway isn’t always smooth and it isn’t going to be at a constant incline.

As Meltem Demirors so gracefully put it, “Tech that changes industries and markets doesn’t get built overnight. There are fits, starts, and failures.” Obviously, this market is throwing a fit. Furthermore, us builders should talk about it.

But Builders Don’t Talk About Price

For as long as I can remember, it’s been a significant taboo for builders in the space to talk about price. The market conditions shouldn’t affect our attitudes or how we build. We actively avoid getting caught in the hype on the way up and avoid falling into depression on the way down.

We transformed “HODL” into “BUIDL,” and there was also short-lived talk of “SHIPL.”

However, refusing to engage in “price talk” doesn’t mean we can, or should, ignore the swings of the market. This ecosystem is highly speculative and our roadmaps, runways and design choices are affected by larger macroeconomic conditions. Denying that the market conditions affect your work, company, financials, and culture is willful ignorance and is dangerous in the short and long term.

2017: Unprecedented Hype

As we saw in 2017, the bull market garnered previously-unseen hype, which led to new, inexperienced users entering the space en masse. Coinbase was adding hundreds of thousands of new users per day. Companies were hiring support teams by the dozens in an attempt to tread overflowing inboxes.

The things we did in 2017 were reactionary. Building for the short term was prioritized over the long term.

We didn’t have refined processes or roadmaps — we had fires that needed to be put out yesterday. We hired those who were willing to wear many hats and didn’t require much sleep. We put band-aids on the most glaring user experience issues as they cropped up, and we promised to iterate later. The market’s ambitious upswing wasn’t tied to the technology and experience being delivered.

2018: The Downward Spiral

2018 was a whole new world. The number of support tickets dropped as fewer new users entered the space. The types of questions we fielded about ICOs plummeted and more technical questions emerged once again.

The members of my team who were solely fueled by the adrenaline of 2017 had to evolve or move on to different projects. Some even left the crypto-space entirely. Our hiring and recruiting practices evolved, and the skills and personality traits we looked for became more refined.

The actions users are taking in 2018 have changed as well.

Whether it was taxes, the SEC, a more bearish market or the realization that the scope of blockchain use cases is still limited, people aren’t doing much these days. Even when we look beyond the trading and investment activity via DappRadar and Dapp.com, we can see just how little activity is happening.

The market is questioning how “decentralized” applies to a world beyond us cypherpunks and early adopters. It’s a valid question that us builders should ask too.

2019: Blood in the Streets?

To steal from Anthony Pompliano (who likely stole it from someone else), there is no “blood in the streets” yet. The blood is coming, but it isn’t only from the individuals who have portfolios that are down more than 100 percent.

It is from anyone and everyone who failed to anticipate just how long this revolution would take. It is from people who didn’t believe in the possibility of a market crash or a long winter. It is the ICOs that had all their holdings in crypto. It’s from those who measure growth and value in terms of months, not years or decades.

More robust companies can reduce the sizes of their teams and cease throwing extravagant parties to lengthen their runways.

Less seasoned companies will have no choice but to shut down. And the most important companies are likely the ones you haven’t yet heard of or are yet to be created.

2019 & Beyond

The coming years have the potential for people to create real, revolutionary value. This will not be the short-term capital creation that ICOs brought in 2017. It will be significantly deeper, take significantly longer and it will spawn from unlikely sources.

Reacting to new users and irrational exuberance is a different ball game than building products that break down the barriers of cryptocurrencies. In order to be relevant and stay relevant, you have to do more.

Those that will have a lasting impact and create the most value will be those who can build for both the bull market, the bear market and beyond the market. They will have the foresight to expect the unexpected, the hindsight to learn from the past and the insight to solve problems in unprecedented ways.

They will use their teams, tools, knowledge and communities to not only build for the next wave of users, but also help bring in the next wave of users. They will not build “on the blockchain” or “for the blockchain.” They will build better solutions that happen to utilize the blockchain.

It’s easier to build products for your existing environment and existing users, but it is shortsighted and will leave you straggling in the long term. Look outside this space for inspiration. Learn from traditional companies who have been around for decades or even centuries. Take the time to understand the motivations and needs of people around the globe. Don’t make product decisions based on the graveyard of activity today. Don’t create personas based on a Twitter poll you spun up yesterday.

Look to the future and anticipate. Your job is no longer to react to the current conditions. It’s to be a fortune teller of tomorrow’s landscape.

Sparking the Revolution

Many point to the dot-com bubble when analysing the cryptocurrency markets in 2017.

Both saw 1,000 percent returns, rampant day-trading, fraud, capital flowing to any company with “.com” or “blockchain” in its name, and the creation of overnight millionaires even when those millionaires had neither delivered products nor profits. It’s an easy comparison. But it’s only one slice of history.

The repetition of history won’t manifest as a carbon copy of itself, so it’s hard to know exactly how this decentralized revolution will play out in totality. The revolution will be simultaneously subtle and profound. What we are building cannot be measured in months or judged by the hype cycles. We are aiming to transform nearly every industry that exists, starting with the financial industry.

The blockchain has come a long way since Satoshi’s white paper and it will take at least that long to disrupt life in a meaningful way.

We have to keep zooming out to keep our perspective wide. The dot-com bubble isn’t what transformed the internet, nor will the last two years be what transforms the blockchain. We need to look at the entire history of the internet and watch how it evolved over time. We need to examine how the Industrial Revolution managed to touch almost every aspect of daily life. We need to remember The Renaissance’s lasting influence on intellectual inquiry.

And, as we do, we should be intimidated by what we have yet to accomplish and inspired by the opportunity to forge the runway ahead. Remember, the real lift off has yet to occur.

 

Have a strong take on 2018?

 

Taylor Monahan

Dec 27, 2018 at 05:00 UTC

Alan Zibluk Markethive Founding Member