Why you should be patient for a big Bitcoin payoff

Cryptocurrency remains the subject of much speculation amongst investors and regulators, and the prices of major tokens remain volatile enough for traders to make decent profits trading at the right times.

Popular cryptocurrencies Bitcoin and Ethereum have shown significant growth recently, increasing by 16.26% and 67.77% respectively from 9 December 2018 to 9 January 2019.

These surges in value may have helped to placate investors following the dismal performance of the overall cryptocurrency market throughout 2018.

Hopeful investors – like those who purchased Bitcoin in 2017 to cash in on the currency’s meteoric price rise – should not hope for a similarly quick return on their buy-in, however.

Cryptocurrency expert Simon Dingle and South African exchange Luno have both cautioned against buying cryptocurrency for quick returns, and instead urge buyers to learn more about the technology behind it to better understand their investment.

Expert predictions

A collection of predictions for 2019 by industry experts compiled by Forbes also paints an outlook which focuses on the development of technology and its subsequent effect on cryptocurrency prices.

Some investors, such as venture capitalist Tim Draper, state that Bitcoin will skyrocket over the next few years – reaching up to $250,000 by 2022.

Those involved in the cryptocurrency industry have also expressed excitement surrounding the new products coming to market, and the subsequent increase in adoption and price.

“2019 will be an exciting year. We will see several great products shipped to market, especially from our Binance Labs incubation programme, now taking place on five continents,” said Binance Labs head Ella Zhang.

“The projects and teams who are focused on building and achieving product-market fit will bring more real use cases to our lives. This will open the gateway to the mass adoption of crypto.”

Most agreed that the age of ICO hype, scams, and get-rich-quick schemes had passed, with more long-term investments now becoming the focus of the market.

Technology and development

While the prices of Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other digital currencies plummeted over the last year, the blockchain technology behind them has been under constant development.

This underlying trend of continued improvement will be the true driving force behind the steady increase of Bitcoin’s price, according to industry experts.

Luno recently stated in a blog post that one big challenge the cryptocurrency community still faces is that of instant gratification.

“The reality is that the existing financial system was built over hundreds – if not thousands – of years and we’re not going to build a new financial infrastructure overnight,” the company said.

“We need to be patient and take it one step at a time. The stakes are high and it would be irresponsible and potentially outright dangerous to rush things.”

The number of Bitcoin transactions taking place per month have been steadily increasing, showing that despite price decreases, the technology’s adoption continues to grow.

Luno said that despite criticism of the cryptocurrency industry and the falling price of digital tokens, it is optimistic about Bitcoin in 2019 – particularly its increased adoption and the development of blockchain scaling options.

Price movements

When it comes to price predictions, Dingle previously told MyBroadband that while he does not like to make them, he does not expect any more sudden surges to all-time highs this year.

Instead, he said that technological developments and positive changes would continue to steadily drive the average price of Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies higher.

He also stated that Ethereum was undervalued and may have a powerful recovery, after which the price of Ethereum increased by around 60%.

While it has deterred many investors, the recent long-term bear market has aided in forcing out scammers and flakey ICOs, and has allowed the cryptocurrency community to focus on creating value and developing technology.

Dingle expects cryptocurrency to continue its steady pace of growth throughout the year, although investors will need to be patient until they are able to take advantage of its potential for meteoric growth again.
 

Jamie McKane 17 January 2019

Alan Zibluk Markethive Founding Member

Bitcoin – Is Another Reversal on the Cards?

It’s slow and steady through the early hours, with Bitcoin needing to make a move to avoid a reversal later in the day…

Bitcoin fell by 2.53% on Tuesday, partially reversing a 4.41% gain on Monday, to end the day at $3,654.3.

An early morning intraday high $3,780.9 saw Bitcoin come up short of $3,800 levels and the day’s first major resistance level at $3,839.13, leading to a reversal through the day alongside the broader market.

Bitcoin fell to a late afternoon intraday low $3,623.1 to come within range of the first major support level at $3,619.73 before steadying, a return to $3,500 levels avoided on the day.

For the broader cryptomarket, it was red across the board through the day, with Ethereum amongst the biggest losers, falling by 6.5% to $120 to raise the prospects of a return to sub-$100 levels should markets not settle in the coming days.

Focus going into Wednesday had been on an Ethereum fork to which the recent cryptomarket volatility and slide in Ethereum had been attributed.

News of vulnerabilities being discovered in the Ethereum upgrade that could ultimately leave Ethereum exposed to a hack and theft weighed on sentiment. This was not the first time that the Ethereum network has experienced a hiccup. The DAO hack was the largest Ethereum attack and left developers with little choice but to create a whole new coin, Ethereum Classic.

Following the Bitcoin Cash debacle and increased volatility ahead of the Ethereum fork, news of an issue in the upgrade ultimately led to the late afternoon sell-off on Tuesday, with Bitcoin, Ethereum and the broader market only finding support following an announced delay to the planned Ethereum fork.

For the Bitcoin bulls, the good news will be that Monday’s rebound was less of a dead cat bounce, though for Bitcoin to avoid another sell-off, not only is a move back through to $3,800 levels needed going into the weekend, but the Ethereum team of developers will also need to restore some confidence .

At the time of writing, Bitcoin was up 0.49% to $3,672.3, with moves through the early morning seeing Tuesday’s late recovery continue into the early hours.

A move from a start of a day morning low $3,642.4 to a morning high $3,685.2 left the day’s major support and resistance levels untested, with Bitcoin continuing to face stern resistance on any attempted moves through to $3,800 levels.

For the day ahead, a move through the morning high $3,685.2 would support a run at $3,700 levels to bring the first major resistance level at $3,749.1 into play before any pullback. It’s been 5 consecutive days in which Bitcoin has stalled on a run at $3,800 levels, Monday’s high $3,999.4 as close as it’s got, following last Thursday’s sell-off. Investors will likely show some caution should Bitcoin fail to make up lost ground, range bound moves tending to end in tears for the cryptomarket.

Failure to move back through the morning high $3,685.2 could ultimately see Bitcoin slide back through the morning low $3,642.4 to bring sub-$3,600 levels and the first major support level at $3,591.3 into play.

Heavier losses could be on the cards should the broader market be deep in the red, with any hint of a possible fall to $3,400 levels likely to lead to some Bitcoin panic through the 2nd half of the week.

Bob Mason

37 minutes ago (Jan 16, 2019 5:10 AM G

Alan Zibluk Markethive Founding Member

Bitcoin (BTC) Could Bottom At $1,700

Murad Mahmudov, a Princeton graduate with dreams of launching his own crypto-centric hedge fund, has quickly become a leading Bitcoin (BTC) analyst, posting an array of in-depth, respectable bits of technical, historical, and fundamental analysis that have resonated with investors.

On Sunday, the industry insider took to Twitter to issue his latest analysis thread.

View image on TwitterMahmudov first drew attention to Bitcoin’s historical price action, drawing lines between the bear market of 2014/2015, specifically the “Baby Capitulation and Final Capitulation” events, and today’s market. Long story short, through a mashup of historical and technical analysis, BTC could fall to as low as $1,700-$2,200 by Spring 2019. So, in closing, the analyst wrote:

If the above dynamics are correct and history does indeed rhyme – which is a big if — We can expect a 1700-2200 bottom in the Spring (most likely April).

This recent quip comes just weeks after Mahmudov took to Tone Vays’ Youtube channel to talk cryptocurrencies. In the podcast-esque environment, the Princeton graduate drew attention to this $1,700 price forecast, explaining it from more of a fundamental level. As reported by us previously, he explained that a number of altcoins, like Ethereum (ETH), EOS, XRP, along with an array small-cap assets, are still drastically overvalued, especially considering their often misconstrued and sometimes non-existent value propositions.

Moon Overlord, a respected crypto trader, echoed Mahmudov’s thoughts. The pseudonymous commentator explained there’s a fleeting chance that Bitcoin has another “substantial draw-down” ahead of itself, also citing historical data. As the harrowing, yet also optimistic adage goes, “history does not repeat itself, but it rhymes.” So, if previous trends prove to be an accurate indicator, the flagship cryptocurrency could fall to as low as $1,700 before another “knock your socks off” rally.

In the same vein of “rhyme, not repeat” thought, other analysts have been more optimistic. Chris Burniske, a partner at Placeholder Ventures, recently claimed that if the crypto market truly moves in multi-year cycles, 2019 will be the year of crypto projects shipping product, echoing sentiment touted by Fred Wilson.

Another analyst, going by Filb Filb, once explained that BTC could surpass $333,000 by 2022, drawing parabolic lines in a somewhat nebulous sense.

Crypto Analyst Expects “New Bull Cycle” In Mid To Late-2019

In related news, another investor, who goes by the online moniker “GalaxyBTC (Galaxy),” claimed that the crypto market is currently entering an accumulation phase, meaning that lower lows are possible but somewhat unlikely. He/She noted that 2014/2015’s bear season lasted for 420 days. So, if history is any indicator, BTC could be nearing the end of its downturn, and will subsequently enter a “new bull cycle” in mid to late-2019.

Per previous reports from Ethereum World News, Delphi Digital, an independent market research consortium, also recently claimed that Bitcoin is currently entering a bout of accumulation.

The analysis completed by Delphi routed through The Next Web’s Hard Fork segment claims that there’s actually been an uptick in Unspent Transaction Outputs (UTXOs), indicating that investors are accumulating Bitcoin en bloc — which could potentially account for the increase in active accounts.

The independent research group noted that “older owners have exhausted much of their selling efforts,” drawing attention to UTXO data they compiled. Delphi’s team went on to write that this all indicates that a round of accumulation, purportedly similar to one seen at the end of 2014 (the previous drastic bear market), is occurring. Or in other words, a bottom could be in sight. However, considering the aforementioned calls, BTC may have quite further to fall in a relatively short period of time.

Alan Zibluk Markethive Founding Member