Bitcoin price analysis: BTC/USD goes below $8,400 again, will Consensus bring relief?
 

• BTC reversed weekend gains, lost 4.5% since the beginning of the day.

• Fundstrat experts expect that Consensus conference will reverse the trend.

Bitcoin is back below $8,400 again. A recovery attempted on weekend, failed to get the digital currency No.1 above $9,000 threshold. BTC/USD is trading at $8,346 at the time of writing, off the Asian high of $8,712. The coin has lost 4.5% since the start of the day and reversed all Sunday and Saturday gains.
 

Meanwhile, crypto enthusiasts are flocking to New York for one of the largest crypto event of the year – CoinDesk's Consensus conference. Fundstrat's managing director and technical strategist Robert Sluymer expect that the event will serve as a good bullish trigger for Bitcoin and other coins, dispelling pessimism about regulatory risks.

"The regulatory risk, the fundamental risk around what's happening with cryptos has hit a bottom and now we're in a state of general recovery," he said on CNBC's "Fast Money" Thursday.

He explained that Bitcoin increased each year after Consensus, though it remains to be seen if the market follows the tradition this year.
 

Bitcoin's technical picture

On the longer-term scale, Bitcoin is jammed between 100-DMA and 50-DMA ($8,826 and $8,263 respectively). A sustainable break in either direction will trigger a strong movement with the next upside target seen at psychological $9,000 and support at $8,000. Both levels are critical for Bitcoin, as move below $8,000 will signal that a recovery from April's low at $6,400 is over.

BTC/USD, the daily chart

Author  Tanya Abrosimova FXStreet

Posted by David Ogden Entrepreneur

Alan Zibluk – Markethive Founding Member

Bitcoin runs into selling pressure for the week

Bitcoin tried to reach above the resistance barrier, but of course has failed again. It looks as if the crypto currency markets are going to struggle, and we are starting to get very negative technical signals in this market. I think that the next move seems to be lower.

BTC/USD

Bitcoin fell against the US dollar during the week, slicing through the $9000 level, an area that I thought was a bit of a barrier or “zone” that extended down to the $8800 level. Now that we are below there, I think the market unwinds, with an initial target of $8000, perhaps followed by $6000. When you look at the chart, you can see that the highs in this market continue to go lower, and I think that $10,000 has just proven itself to be an even more significant barrier than originally thought. Because of this, it’s obvious that we will continue to struggle in that general vicinity.

BTC/JPY

Bitcoin has also fallen against the Japanese yen, well below the ¥1 million level. I think that the market is going to test the ¥900,000 level, and then possibly even as low as the ¥700,000 level as it is the bottom of the overall consolidation. Whether we break down below there, I don’t know yet, but I do know that it certainly makes a nice target. I believe that the markets continue to punish Bitcoin, with the ¥700,000 level being massive support. If we were to break down below that level, things could get ugly, especially if we break through the “zone” that extends down to the 600,000 level. In fact, if we break down below there I think we are looking at a multi-year bear market. The alternate scenario is that we turn around and break above the ¥1.1 million level, but that doesn’t look likely right now.

Author Christopher Lewis

Posted by David Ogden Entrepreneur

Alan Zibluk – Markethive Founding Member

Bitcoin Price Technical Analysis for 05/04/2018 – Long-Term Double Bottom

Bitcoin Price Key Highlights

Bitcoin price appears to be gaining traction on its climb as it approaches a key resistance.

A break past the $10,000 barrier could complete the creation of a double bottom reversal pattern.

Rallying past the neckline of the formation could lead to an uptrend of the same height.

Bitcoin price is forming a double bottom on its daily time frame to signal that a longer-term uptrend is due.

Technical Indicators Signals

The 100 SMA is below the longer-term 200 SMA to signal that the path of least resistance is to the downside. This means that the selloff could still resume from here, possibly leading to another test of the bottoms at $6,000.

The 100 SMA appears to be holding as dynamic support, though, and a move past the 200 SMA dynamic inflection point could draw more buyers in.

Stochastic looks ready to turn lower from the overbought region to signal a pickup in selling pressure as well. But if buyers stay in control, a mov past the $12,000 area of interest and neckline could lead to a climb of around $6,000 or a rally up to the record highs.

Market Factors

Developments in the industry have been mostly positive, especially after Goldman Sachs announced plans to start a bitcoin trading operation. Execs also noted that bitcoin is not a fraud, contrary to CEO Blankfein’s statement on how it is in a bubble earlier on.

Apart from that, South Korea’s lawmakers are working on a bill to legalize ICO launches, also helping to add legitimacy to the industry. Japan has already created its regulatory body for ICOs, which means that the top markets for bitcoin are making good progress.

Dollar demand is also sinking leading up to the release of the NFP report as traders are wary that weak results could reinforce the less hawkish stance shared by the FOMC in their latest statement. Weaker than expected data could lead to even more dollar selling and bitcoin price could take advantage.

Author SARAH JENN | MAY 4, 2018 | 4:20 AM

Posted by David Ogden Entrepreneur

Alan Zibluk – Markethive Founding Member